Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.406014 0.479004 0.559536 0.654731 0.763920 0.884971 1.029052
2024-10-06 0.313931 0.415063 0.537838 0.696712 0.895576 1.134890 1.443141
2024-10-13 0.235011 0.344111 0.488229 0.689878 0.961609 1.311551 1.792117
2024-10-20 0.181089 0.290725 0.446857 0.680737 1.016445 1.474149 2.136940
2024-10-27 0.143654 0.250868 0.414271 0.674314 1.068721 1.633459 2.488873
2024-11-03 0.120386 0.226795 0.399084 0.688226 1.148172 1.834886 2.915311
2024-11-10 0.101214 0.204890 0.382556 0.695739 1.216084 2.022866 3.336024
2024-11-17 0.085317 0.185055 0.365448 0.698446 1.274490 2.199109 3.751242
2024-11-24 0.073672 0.170510 0.354677 0.709364 1.345849 2.399852 4.218647
2024-12-01 0.063122 0.155757 0.340792 0.712060 1.402087 2.579045 4.663413
2024-12-08 0.051551 0.136177 0.314192 0.686947 1.405253 2.668032 4.964056
2024-12-15 0.046453 0.129865 0.312966 0.709944 1.497589 2.916181 5.550118
2024-12-22 0.041417 0.122823 0.309555 0.729057 1.586376 3.168497 6.168266
2024-12-29 0.038859 0.121418 0.318248 0.774322 1.730471 3.532174 7.009848
2025-01-05 0.033095 0.110238 0.302973 0.766465 1.768177 3.702931 7.516812
2025-01-12 0.028117 0.099876 0.287719 0.756290 1.799512 3.863276 8.014818
2025-01-19 0.024082 0.091118 0.274733 0.749184 1.835859 4.034920 8.543991
2025-01-26 0.021617 0.086514 0.271504 0.764423 1.921426 4.308946 9.285170
2025-02-02 0.019180 0.081309 0.265745 0.772653 1.992064 4.557706 9.992545
2025-02-09 0.016873 0.075861 0.258317 0.775618 2.050837 4.786010 10.673291
2025-02-16 0.015145 0.071973 0.254619 0.787589 2.131316 5.064577 11.470782
2025-02-23 0.013369 0.067341 0.247870 0.790545 2.190636 5.302239 12.199084
2025-03-02 0.011077 0.059830 0.230800 0.763003 2.173495 5.374098 12.590283